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An Opportunity to Reverse the Housing Trend
Michael Nagy
Public Policy
The downturn in the San Diego Region's housing market may start to sound more like the hissing of a slow leak rather than a pop of a bursting bubble.
The general consensus of organizations, like the California Association of Realtors and the National Association of Home Builders, indicate that San Diego's red hot housing may begin to cool down due to the lower volume in home sales, the
decrease in the production of new homes and the growing inventory of unsold homes.
But at what point will the region begin to focus less on the leak and begin to reverse the trend of housing unaffordability? Regardless of the expected downturn, the region's home prices remain unattainable for a majority of San
Diegans.
The California Association of Realtors listed San Diego's Housing Affordability Index (HAI) at 9 percent last December. Meaning, that only 9 percent of San Diegans can afford to purchase a median priced home in the region.
San Diego's median price remained stable at $605,600 in January in spite of a 20.2 percent decline in home sales from the previous year and a growing inventory of 15,842 unsold homes in March.
Many experts predict the region's home prices will decline somewhere between 5 to 10 percent this year, but many San Diegans will still remain priced out of the region's market. In spite of the recent decline in sales volume, home prices
continue to increase around the region.
The Union Tribune recently cited data from the state's Department of Finance that 12,389 more people left than entered the county last year, triggering the slowest growth in the region's population in some time.
So what does this mean? It means the status quo cannot continue. It means that San Diegans will spend more time in traffic as more commuters flow in and out of the region. It means that most of the children who were raised here will
eventually move elsewhere because they cannot afford to live in the region they grew up in.
It also means employers who cannot attract entry and mid level workers because of home prices may look elsewhere to relocate or expand their businesses. The region's elected officials, businesses, and population should not hope that a
decline in home prices alone would reverse the trend of home unaffordability.
The reality is that for-profit and non-profit builders both find it very difficult to build units because of community opposition, burdensome regulation, a lack of developable land and insufficient subsidies. Some builders already have
moved projects elsewhere because of these obstacles. The region's elected officials can improve affordability by instituting long-term policies that increase homeownership and reduce mandates that increase costs and delay the production of
housing of all types in the region.
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Small Business Awards Luncheon
Celebrate San Diego!
Small and micro businesses are the greatest strength of our regional economy, leading the way in innovation and bringing new ideas and services to the marketplace. Let's celebrate those who contribute the most. Don't miss this exciting
tribute to small businesses!
Brought to you by:
North Island Credit Union
When:
Friday, May 19
Business Exchange & Showcase Tabletop Exhibit 9:00 - 11:00 a.m.
Reception, Registration & Networking 11:00 - 12:00 p.m.
Awards Luncheon & Program 12:00 - 1:30 p.m.
Where:
San Diego Marriott Hotel & Marina - Marriott Hall
333 West Harbor Drive, Downtown San Diego
Cost:
Patron Table Sponsor - $950
Table of Ten - $700
Business Exchange Tabletop Display - $250
Individual Luncheon Reservations - $75
In Conjunction with:
AT&T, Merrill Lynch, The Daily Transcript and YellowBook
Production Sponsor:
AV Guys
For information or to register go to www.sdchamber.org under the Calendar of Events Icon
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